November 22, 2024
2024 Global Crypto Adoption Index
 #CriptoNews

2024 Global Crypto Adoption Index #CriptoNews

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This post is an excerpt from our 2024 Geography of Cryptocurrency Report. Download your copy now!

We are excited to share the fifth annual Chainalysis Global Crypto Adoption Index. In each year’s report, we look at both on- and off-chain data to determine which countries are leading the world in grassroots crypto adoption. Our research highlights countries where unique cryptocurrency use cases are taking hold, and explores why people in countries around the world are embracing crypto.

Keep reading to learn more about:

Our Global Crypto Adoption Index methodology

The Global Crypto Adoption Index is made up of four sub-indexes, each of which is based on countries’ usage of different types of cryptocurrency services. We rank all 151 countries for which we have sufficient data on each sub-index, weight the rankings by characteristics including population size and purchasing power, take the geometric mean of each country’s ranking in all four, and then normalize that final number on a scale of 0 to 1 to give every country a score that determines its overall ranking. The closer the country’s final score is to 1, the higher the rank.

In order to calculate our sub-indexes, we estimate countries’ transaction volumes for different types of cryptocurrency services and protocols based on the web traffic patterns of those services’ and protocols’ websites. We acknowledge that web traffic data are imperfect, as some crypto users likely employ VPNs and other similar tools to hide their true physical locations. However, given that our index accounts for hundreds of millions of cryptocurrency transactions and more than 13 billion web visits, it is likely that any misattributed transaction volume due to VPNs is marginal, given the size of the dataset. We also compare findings with insights from local crypto experts and operators around the world, giving us more confidence in this methodology.

Below are descriptions of the sub-indexes and how they are calculated, as well as improvements in our methodology since last year.

Sub-index category 1: on-chain cryptocurrency value received by centralized services, weighted by weighted by GDP per capita on a PPP adjusted basis

We include this sub-index to rank each country by total cryptocurrency value received on centralized services, and weight the rankings to favor countries where that amount is more significant in comparison to the average person’s income in that country. To calculate this, we estimate the total value received on-chain by users of centralized services in each country, and weight that by GDP per capita on a PPP adjusted basis, which measures the country’s income per resident. The higher the ratio of on-chain value received to GDP per capita on a PPP adjusted basis, the higher the ranking. In other words, if two countries received equal amounts of cryptocurrency at centralized services, the country with lower weighted GDP per capita on a PPP adjusted basis would rank ahead.

Sub-index category 2: on-chain retail cryptocurrency value received by centralized services, weighted by GDP per capita on a PPP adjusted basis

We also estimate the activity of non-professional, individual cryptocurrency users at centralized services, based on the value of crypto they’re transacting compared to the average person’s purchasing power. We do this by estimating the amount of crypto received at centralized services by users in each country — similar to sub-index category 1 — but only counting value received in retail-sized transactions, which we designate as transactions under $10,000 worth of crypto. We then rank each country according to this metric, but weight it to favor countries with a lower GDP per capita on a PPP adjusted basis.

Sub-index category 3: on-chain cryptocurrency value received by DeFi protocols, weighted by GDP per capita on a PPP adjusted basis

We rank countries by their DeFi transaction volume and weight the rankings to favor countries with lower GDP per capita on a PPP adjusted basis.

Sub-index category 4: on-chain retail cryptocurrency value received by DeFi protocols, weighted by GDP per capita on a PPP adjusted basis

We rank each country by DeFi transaction volume carried out in retail-sized transfers (again, under $10,000 worth of crypto), weighted to favor countries with lower GDP per capita on a PPP adjusted basis.

Methodology changes

Methodology change 1: measuring DeFi activity

The primary change in this year’s methodology pertains to how we measured cryptocurrency value received by decentralized protocols. For DeFi services, we included only the value received from suspected personal wallets and excluded the value received by other known DeFi wallets. This new methodology ensures that the total value received is not inflated due to the intermediary steps required by certain smart contracts.

Here’s an example of how DeFi transfers typically work:

  1. A personal wallet initiates a swap in DeFi Protocol A, transferring Ether (ETH) from the personal wallet to DeFi Protocol A’s Router contract address.
  2. ETH is deposited to the wrapped Ether (wETH) token contract address from the Router contract address.
  3. The Router contract address receives wETH.
  4. A transfer ensues from the Router to the decentralized exchange (DEX) pool contract.
  5. A transfer ensues from the DEX pool contract to the Router.
  6. There is a final transfer from the Router back to the personal wallet.

Based on our new methodology, we are only counting the first transfer in the above example to determine the total value received by the DeFi protocol. By doing this, we can eliminate intermediary transfers between contracts that belong to the same service provider. This process led to a decrease in our estimates of value received, but is now a more accurate estimate.

Methodology change 2: excluding P2P exchange sub-index

In previous years, we included P2P cryptocurrency exchange trade volume, weighted by PPP per capita and number of internet users, to calculate overall Global Crypto Adoption rankings. This year, we have decided to exclude this sub-index due to a substantial decrease in activity on P2P exchanges. One of the largest and the most tenured P2P exchange, LocalBitcoins.com, shut down last year, which contributed to this decline.

The 2024 Global Crypto Adoption Index Top 20

Central & Southern Asia and Oceania (CSAO) dominates our 2024 Index, with seven of the top 20 countries located in the region. As we explore in the full report, CSAO has a unique set of crypto markets with high levels of activity on local crypto exchanges, with merchant services, and in DeFi.

Country Region Overall index ranking Centralized service value received ranking Retail centralized service value received ranking DeFi value received ranking Retail DeFi value received ranking
India Central & Southern Asia and Oceania (CSAO) 1 1 1 3 2
Nigeria Sub-Saharan Africa 2 5 2 2 3
Indonesia Central & Southern Asia and Oceania (CSAO) 3 6 6 1 1
United States North America 4 2 12 4 4
Vietnam Central & Southern Asia and Oceania (CSAO) 5 3 3 6 5
Ukraine Eastern Europe 6 7 5 5 6
Russia Eastern Europe 7 11 7 7 7
Philippines Central & Southern Asia and Oceania (CSAO) 8 9 8 14 9
Pakistan Central & Southern Asia and Oceania (CSAO) 9 4 4 18 13
Brazil Latin America (LATAM) 10 8 10 10 14
Turkey Middle East & North Africa (MENA) 11 14 11 15 11
United Kingdom Central, Northern & Western Europe (CNWE) 12 12 21 9 8
Venezuela Latin America (LATAM) 13 17 16 11 12
Mexico Latin America (LATAM) 14 18 17 13 10
Argentina Latin America (LATAM) 15 13 13 17 20
Thailand Central & Southern Asia and Oceania (CSAO) 16 16 15 19 16
Cambodia Central & Southern Asia and Oceania (CSAO) 17 10 9 35 23
Canada North America 18 22 26 16 15
South Korea Eastern Asia 19 15 14 33 33
China Eastern Asia 20 20 18 24 22

Global crypto activity is increasing

Between the fourth quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, the total value of global crypto activity increased substantially, reaching higher levels than those of 2021 during the crypto bull market. We can see this pattern in the chart below, where we apply our Adoption Index methodology globally by adding all 151 countries’ index scores for each quarter from Q3 2021 to Q2 2024, and re-indexing them again to show global adoption growth over time.

Last year, growth in crypto adoption was driven primarily by lower-middle income countries. This year, however, crypto activity increased across countries of all income brackets, with a pullback in high income countries since the beginning of 2024.

The launch of the Bitcoin ETF in the United States triggered an increase in total value of Bitcoin activity across all regions, with particularly strong year-over-year growth in institutional-sized transfers and in regions with higher income countries, such as North America and Western Europe. On the contrary, year-over-year growth of stablecoins was higher among retail and professional-sized transfers, and is supporting real-world use cases in low income and lower-middle income countries in regions such as Sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America, in particular.

When we look at year-over-year growth in terms of types of services, we see that DeFi activity increased significantly in Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America, and Eastern Europe. This growth likely drove an increase in altcoin activity in these regions, as shown in the above chart.

Read our full 2024 Geography of Cryptocurrency Report for more information about these trends, recent regulatory developments, and how countries around the world are using crypto.

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