November 1, 2024
Strategists Say Election Clouds Outlook for Japanese Markets #JapanFinance

Strategists Say Election Clouds Outlook for Japanese Markets #JapanFinance

CashNews.co

(Bloomberg) — Political uncertainty will likely weigh on sentiment for investors in Japanese assets after the ruling coalition led by the Liberal Democratic Party failed to win a majority in parliament for the first time since 2009. The yen weakened, and Japanese stocks gained on Monday morning.

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Some may be looking to buy on dips, and global investors are still pinning hopes on Japan’s improving corporate governance as a factor to buy equities, even after a gamble by Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba to call a snap lower house election backfired. Public support for the LDP has nosedived after revelations last year that party members were secretly enriching themselves with funds from supporters.

This is what analysts and strategists are saying:

Buying The Dip

“The situation is so uncertain,” said Ryuta Otsuka, a strategist at Toyo Securities Co. “The loss for the coalition party has not been fully priced in. Those that have reported earnings and confirmed good performance will not be sold much, and there is a possibility of buying at the dip.”

Longer-Term Gains

“In terms of the mid-longer term view, we still think the pieces are in place for Japanese equities to do well. The work on corporate reform, focus on return on equity and increasing capital expenditure by corporates are all still very encouraging, and shouldn’t be impacted too heavily by the election outcome,“ said Alex Cousley, an investment strategist at Russell Investments Group LLC.

“In terms of USD/JPY, the yen looks very attractive on valuation terms but has been that way for a while. If we see a more aggressive selloff in the currency in coming days/weeks and we saw signs that the market had overreacted to the news, that would be an attractive opportunity.”

Yen Weakening Pressure

“The yen has been under selling pressure throughout October and a tight election result probably won’t do the Japanese currency any favors,” said Tim Waterer, Sydney-based chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

“Financial markets don’t deal well with uncertainty and that’s exactly the type of situation that a loss of majority for the LDP would create. From a clarity standpoint investors would prefer to see a more clear-cut result, but that may not be what transpires given the apparent loss of confidence by the public in the LDP.”

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