November 14, 2024
Raoul Pal – “I Was 100% Right About the Banana Zone But What’s Coming Is 100x Bigger”
 #Finance

Raoul Pal – “I Was 100% Right About the Banana Zone But What’s Coming Is 100x Bigger” #Finance


forward-looking indicators are exploding higher meaning we’re all going to have some more money soon because the economy is going to be working better our businesses will run better our earnings will go up and we’ll feel a bit better about ourselves that’s what lies ahead

and is the essence of what matters in the banana zone now here’s where the magic happen altcoins as a percentage of total market cap so it’s like the inverse of Bitcoin dominance actually is driven by the business side and that’s because people take more risks and invest more

money when they’ve got their earnings going up when people think they’ve got a bit more money and that is what drives altcoins we’ve barely started as and I showed you before ISM starts going up altcoins go bananas the much anticipated banana zone is here and

href="https://cashnews.co/crypto" style="font-weight: bold; color: #1a73e8; text-decoration: none;">Cryptocurrency prices are ripping higher Bitcoin the world’s largest none;">Cryptocurrency by market cap is leading the charge with an 8.4% increase in the past week a 22.5% increase in the past month and an 80.8% increase year-to dat the leading none;">Cryptocurrency is currently trading at 76,120,000 on Thursday the ongoing Crypto rally started shortly before president-elect Donald Trump’s historic victory at the polls

earlier this week and has continued to gain momentum especially after the US Federal Reserve announced another 25 basis points rate cut on Thursday with Bitcoin now at all-time highs other none;">Cryptocurrencies are beginning to pick up steam Dogecoin cardano and salana are up by over 20% in the past week with cardano recording an astonishing 2467 per increase in the past week and a 16.76% increase in the past 24 hours as of press time they are closely followed by sui ethereum

and Avalanche which are up by 18.8 % 16% and 11.71% respectively in the past week the Crypto fear and greed index which reflects color: #1a73e8; text-decoration: none;">Crypto Market sentiment is also at full-on Greed for the first time in months revealing how ecstatic and optimistic investors are about the ongoing rally real Vision founder and CEO Raul pal describes this as the banana Zone a period in every

href="https://cashnews.co/crypto" style="font-weight: bold; color: #1a73e8; text-decoration: none;">Crypto bull market marked by significant upward price movement according to Pal we are now officially out of the boring Zone and in the banana Zone with

style="font-weight: bold; color: #1a73e8; text-decoration: none;">Crypto prices expected to continue rallying upward sharply for several more months pal is predicting more new all-time highs for Bitcoin as well as for leading altcoins like salana ethereum SOI and others all fueled by central

banks unleashing an unprecedented amount of Liquidity on their respective economies in a recent update on his R pal the journeyman YouTube channel pal delves into the banana Zone detailing why the activities of central banks have made the business cycle predictable and what to

expect as we go deeper into the yellow fruit Zone as we bring you clips from Pal’s CashNews.co please take a little time to like this CashNews.co subscribe to the channel and turn on post notifications for more CashNews.cos like this thanks for the support and enjoy the CashNews.co the banana

zone is that point when Crypto prices go exponential and while we all love this and our hopes and dreams are all in that yellow fruit I wanted to get everybody on the same page of

understanding so you know where we are and why we’re here so I’m going to run through a selection of charts many of which you’ll never seen before that gives you a much deeper understanding of what’s going on and what we might be able to look forward to ahead because the

banana zone is a very special time now since 2008 everything has become cyclical because in 2008 every Central Bank around the world reset Interest Rates to zero like a Debt Jubilee you don’t have to pay your interest so the world could kind of recover from

the Debt blow up of 2008 and for about 10 years we had zero Interest Rates and what the governments did is they reset all of their Debts to between three and five years that cycle has created a perfectly cyclical business cycle the ism The

Institute of Supply manager survey what we’ve got here is in black is the current cycle which is it’s currently at its lows but the forward-looking is actually just the previous cycle move forwards and inverted because it keeps repeating the same cycle so that same cycle is repeatable

and understandable and forecastable sure the Wiggles may change the direction will be right and it’s driven by this this is the distribution of Debt in the United States if you look at the first two boxes well that’s what 72% of the entire Debt

structure is 1 to 5 years which is what I talked about before this is what’s causing the cylic that you see in the economy and these fouryear Cycles so because they’re using the Liquidity to manage the Debt the rollover years which is tends to be this

um yellow and the kind of weird peachy color the summer and fall those are when the peak Debt rollover happens so they add lots of Liquidity so if you look at that you can see the Liquidity piling into the system as they start rolling those

Debts over and they need to print more money because they have to issue new Debt to pay the interest on the old Debt sometimes they use a central bank Balance Sheet other times they just create Liquidity and

it’s done on a globalized basis right now China is the big Liquidity driver and then you get those blue years which are the winter years when they start withdrawing Liquidity because they don’t need to service the Debts because

there’s no Debts around those periods of time so that’s why we get this cycle and this cycle creates the Bitcoin cycle it actually corresponds with the presidential election cycle and also the Bitcoin Haring cycle they’re all those summer months the summer months

tend to be pretty strong you can see the previous examples 2012 16 20 all good months All Good Seasons or years and then fall tends to be very strong the fall in 2021 uh was still strong but it had a stunted cycle because Liquidity was starting to get withdrawn because they put so

much in but if you look at 2017 and 13 they were gigantic so the fun is yet to come when you look at it in year- on-year terms you can see the cyclicality and how related Bitcoin is to Global Liquidity and how the seasons dictate that so what we’re looking forward to is the B

big rises in price ahead it’s all a factor of the business cycle and according to Pal the business cycle is telling us a very pleasant story of higher prices an enjoyable business climate and general economic well-being at least for the next 8 to 12 months it’s all a part of rul

Pal’s popular everything code thesis pal further simplifies this thesis in a recent thread posted on social media platform X the post reads demographics are Destiny GDP slows over time as the size of the labor force shrinks government Debt to GDP ratio is just a function of

the working population it offsets the weak growth and pays for the compounding interests on the Debts this is the most important chart in macro so to sum up the everything code older population leads to lower Trend GDP growth lower GDP growth requires increasing

Debts to maintain growth and service the old population central banks print money to service the Debts every four years and numbers go up we are now in the number go up phase of the business cycle with Bitcoin now soaring high pal says it’s almost time for

altcoin season which is when the true magic happens here are more clips from the CashNews.co now looking forwards the business cycle is starting to pick up so current ISM today is very lackluster it’s almost recessionary conditions which is why many of you think we’re in a recession

right now the forward-looking indicators are exploding higher meaning we’re all going to have some more money soon because the econom is going to be working better our businesses will run better our earnings will go up and we’ll feel a bit better about ourselves that’s what lies

ahead and is the essence of what matters in the banana Zone and you see the financial conditions index which is our lead on all of this it’s comprised of oil prices uh the dollar and rates is also suggesting that ISM leads and it’s a pretty good indicator so uh that it leads ISM and by

nine months so we kind of know the business cycle is going to be going up at least for nine months and probably a lot longer now here’s where the magic happen altcoins as a percentage of total market cap so it’s like the inverse of Bitcoin dominance actually is driven by the business

side and that’s because people take more risks and invest more money when they’ve got their earnings going up when people think they’ve got a bit more money and that is what drives altcoins it’s the same as small caps in equities they’re all driven by the same basic

phenomena which is the business cycle creates more activity which creates more investment which drives prices higher so we’ve barely started as and I showed you before ISM starts going up altcoins go bananas now when we measure altcoin season by using this you know 30day out performance

underperformance of Bitcoin we’re nowhere we’re still at 39% that’s midcycle range we’ve got a long way to go and that’s when things get very excited it tends to be the last 12 months of the um of the four-year season that four 4-year period those last 12 months are

where all the Returns come and they lie ahead also so total Liquidity is breaking out we see these wedge patterns every time around the same time uh in the cycle and then what happens is as soon as it breaks out Bitcoin breaks out too we’re breaking out now China is leading

it China’s injected 8 trillion doll of Liquidity so far since um I think October November 2022 Europeans about a trillion the UK about a trillion the US has actually been about flat but we expect them to start injecting money soon by the Treasury General

account okay Global M2 it’s a measure of private money it leads by 11 weeks Bitcoin perfect and Bitcoin banana Zone we keep going so that looks great now don’t get fixated exactly it’s going to be 100,000 but it seems in that kind of range um basically a strong end of the year and

should get even stronger into next year GMI total Liquidity another fantastic correlation same kind of outcomes uh strong Bitcoin into the end of the year um and that’s what we’re looking for here ignore the corrected price action right now on that chart because it it

hooks up afterwards so we should just continue overtime higher okay are we anywhere near the cycle top I know people threet oh my God but bitcoin’s at alltime high surely I’m going to be buying the top surely R Shilling things at the top and he’s trying to find excute

Liquidity and all the nonsense that people talk about online basically our cycle Liquidity indicator is nowhere near where it’s going to go also look at the acceleration that happen before it Peaks out we haven’t done anything yet this has been super

mild so expect the acceleration ahead while ethereum the largest altcoin by market cap has gained more than Bitcoin in the past week up by 16% compared to bitcoin 8.75% it’s still far from its previous all-time high of $4,875 pal believes ethereum will soon start playing catchup in another

tweet on X the former gold man Sachs wrote just thinking out loud I’ve been expecting ethereum to start gaining lost ground on bitcoin it’s partly driven by the risk-taking cycle but it’s also driven by the election you see now that regulation is likely to dramatically improve for

Crypto it allows two key potential developments number one utility tokens in defi will begin to offer Yield or reward of underlying protocol which creates Network value most

of this is on ather number two trafi will likely begin to build larger use cases but on the most tested adopted chain think of ethereum and the L2 as the Microsoft of web 3 no one gets fired for using it those two elements alone can dramatically rate ethereum and offset the current retail adoption

on other chains and ethereum Yields will attract more institutions Yields allow other Financial products to be built such as guaranteed funds with better regulations this activity will explode as a result of these developments pal expects ethereum to begin to

outpace bitcoin for the rest of the cycle but underperform salana which will in turn underperform sui in his words sui is in the ultimate performance stage of adoption please share your thoughts on R Pal’s predictions for Bitcoin ethereum and other

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26 thoughts on “Raoul Pal – “I Was 100% Right About the Banana Zone But What’s Coming Is 100x Bigger” #Finance

  1. Thank you for the insights! Got a 10% profit in just one week from your last tip, OMG!!! Im looking into XAI97K, ETH, and SOL. What’s your advice? XAI97K seems to have potential, but your opinion matters.

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