This CashNews.co was made possible by, well, me, and the streaming site I helped start, Nebula. Right now, if you buy any of our merch at Standard.tv/HAI, you’ll get 30 days of Nebula for free. Today’s episode is about the future of onions. Now, I’m no expert on where onions are
headed, but here are my top 50 theories. One: Wi-fi. Two: new hairdos. Three: gunions—onions that looks like guns. Four: munnions—onions that look like Olivia Munn. Five: lemons get rebranded as “sour onions.” Six—oh wait sorry I’m being flagged by one of my Junior Interim Executive
Researchers in Training for the EMEA region. It seems that this CashNews.co isn’t about the future of onions, it’s about onion Futures. My bad. Let’s try again. Meet Vincent Kasuga. He’s known by many names: his fans call him the Onion King, onion farmers call him a
cheater, friends call him Vinny, and his wife calls him cuddlebuns, but that’s only in private. In the 1950s, cuddlebuns had a brilliant idea: what if we took shorts, but made them longer? It turned out that was called pants, and it had already been invented, but then he had another idea: he was
going to corner the onion market. Now, in theory, cornering a market is simple: Step one: buy all of a commodity. Step two: stonks. Step three: Profit. In practice, though, cornering a market is nearly impossible: not only would Vince need to buy almost every onion in America, he
would also need to do it without anybody noticing, because if the market realized what he was up to, prices would spike before he could finish. Somehow, though, by the winter of 1955, using a combination of quiet investors, ramshackle warehouses, and the god-like high of abusing
Capitalism, he managed to secure 98% of America’s smelly apples that make you cry. But that was just the beginning. You see, Vince wasn’t content just to own all the onions that currently existed—he also wanted to own all the onions that would be grown in the future. While
buying onions from the future may sound like ramblings of a coked-up Hamburglar, it’s actually totally possible, through something called a Futures contract, which is, in simple terms, an agreement to buy something in the future at a price that you set now. So, Vinny bought up
all the onion Futures, making him the owner of all current and future onions, a position commonly called Total Onion Domination. Now you might be wondering: okay, so what? He owns all the onions, what’s the worst he could do: make fajitas? But the thing is, when someone owns the
entire supply of a given market, they have complete control over the price. It all comes down to basic supply and demand—if you’ve ever taken an Econ 101 class, you’ll remember supply and demand as the system that helped determine the price of Econ 101 Exam Answers on your uni’s black
market. The concept is simple: when there’s less supply of something, prices go up, and when there’s more supply, prices go down. In a well-functioning free market, supply is determined by a combination of competing firms, but in this case, thanks to his Total Onion Domination, onion supply was
set by one person: Vincent “Cuddlebuns” Kasuga. Simply by changing how many onions he was willing to sell, Vincent could make the price whatever he wanted it to be: 4 dollars and 20 cents, sixty-nine dollars, or probably other numbers, too. The first part of Vince’s scheme was exactly what
you’d expect: he artificially raised the price of onions, and then sold them for a Profit. In late 1955, he gathered all the big players in the onion game—onion buyers, onion growers, even Charles P. Onion himself—in a conference room in Chicago, and basically gave the
following presentation: “Good afternoon, idiots. I own all the onions. Buy them for the price I want or have fun trying to sell grapefruits.” And it worked: he sold 9 million of his onions at the high price he had set. But much like an onion, Kasuga’s plan had layers—and for his second
scheme, he quietly began to short onion Futures. To explain what a short is, here’s Margot Robbie—I mean, Thomas Frank—in a bathtub: “Hi Sam. Basically, when Vincent Kasuga shorted onions Futures, he was betting against them, meaning that if the price of
onions went down, he would make money. But of course, it wasn’t really a bet, because Vince knew the price of onions would go down, because as the owner of all of America’s onions, he controlled the price. Got it? Good. Now get out of my bathroom.” Thanks Thomas. Once Vince had solidified his
short position, he flooded the market, increasing the onion supply so much that the prices for a 50-pound bag of onions fell from about $2.45 to 10 cents, which if my math is correct is… carry the one, move the decimal, math math math… way less. In fact, the onions cost less than the 20-cent
bags they were put in. In other words, onions became more worthless than my joke-making abilities—they were valued so little that traders literally couldn’t give them away, which they actually tried to do, handing onions to orphanages, hospitals, and schools, until eventually they were forced
to dump the remaining ones in the Chicago river, finally getting rid of them while also setting the world record for the largest and worst French onion soup ever. Thanks to his shorts on onion Futures, when prices tanked in 1956, Vincent Kasuga made $8.5 million, which today would
be $83 million—an amount accountants refer to as “much.” But the onion price cut led to tears from onion farmers, who ultimately managed to lobby then-congressman, later-president, and man who looks like an oil barren trying to steal the Muppets’ theatre, Gerald Ford, to introduce the Onion
Futures Act, which Congress passed in 1958, banning onion Futures from ever being sold in the United States. Today, onions remain the only agricultural commodity on which Futures are banned, which actually has real implications for onion farmers,
who can no longer sell their future crops now at a guaranteed price, which leads to a more volatile market, and more price uncertainty. But I do have good news for them: if they’re looking for price certainty, I can guarantee that an HAI sticker costs three dollars now and will cost three dollars
tomorrow, and if you buy one, you can try out Nebula for free. You probably know by now that Nebula is a streaming service that I started with my other educational creator friends to help us make the kind of content we want, without having to worry about the YouTube algorithm or demonetization or
ads. Plus, on Nebula, you’ll also be able to see exclusive Originals you can’t see anywhere else, including the HAI Original The Brick Façade, and the relaunch of my podcast Showmakers, where Brian from Real Engineering and I interview other creators. Right now, if you purchase any HAI
merchandise—there’s no minimums or anything—you’ll get 30 days of Nebula completely free. So head to standard.tv/hai to check out our, frankly banging, shirt and stickers, and try out Nebula for free.
CashNews, your go-to portal for financial news and insights.
Go buy any HAI or Wendover merch (no minimums or anything) and get a free month of Nebula, where you can watch our 30-minute long special about bricks, among other, less-refined pieces of content: http://Standard.tv/HAI or http://Standard.tv/wendover
Ha! I've got you now, HAI! Here's my three-part plan to gain untold riches thanks to this video:
1. I have saved this video, and will be back in the year 2073 to purchase my $3 stickers at the guaranteed price.
2. Stonks!
3. Profit?
And now, we play the waiting game…
I can't believe that instead of changing the regulations of the market they just banned the least important part of this story. Literally anyone with enough money can do the same for any market FUCK WHY IS THE GOVERNMENT SO FUCKING DUMB
Would it be viable to make an act banning lending of (all) produce futures?
I imagine it would effectively allow the trade of them (making prices more stable for the farmers) but prevent shorting of them, thus making it harder to exploit market dominance and such for produce (which is in a nations intrest to have steady). It would perhaps be less effective (or more so important) if extended to include processed or at least manufactured (food) produducts. (But I don't know if there even is trade futures for those.)
It could be argued (if I understand it correctly) that lending/shorting of futures would be futures of futures, which in turn could be used for arguments towards disallowing it.
ur jokes are not funny dude
Seeing all of this happen and then banning onion futures is like seeing a bridge collapse on a Saturday and then banning Saturdays. It so clearly fails to address any possible root cause.
Get it?
Power over Onion is power over all
im gonna go buy all the carrots then, i guess…
Who was the idiot who sold a short position to the guy with all the onions?
Futures contracts sound like something that a satire of capitalism would make up.
OMG! When I was about 12 years old, I cooked up a scheme to make a fortune in onion futures! My dad actually went so far as to stop in a brokerage, where he was told that there was no such thing as onion futures. If he had only known why!
I didn't think I'd ever hear anything more about onion futures, if I'd thought about it at all!
you forgot that then (i thnik) the COT weekly data was created
I get making that law in an emergency situation, but they should have thought about how they could change it now and address the problem rather than one symptom
“Remember that time drunken Wall Street dudes made onion trading illegal on the stock market?”
“Yeah.”
“So you’ve seen that HAI video?”
“Yeah.”
“… Nerd.”
“Correct.”
my manager apparently watches HAI, too. thanks for the bonding opportunity, lol.
NFT bros when they find out onions exist:
Because one jackass before the internet managed to buy every onion in America at arguable market price. Onion farmers today have to plan their harvests and investments worse. Fuck you congress. At the end of the day he had a monopoly on information. Which is literally impossible today
If only onion futures are banned, then why can't people do the same with other small supply commodities?
It always makes me chuckle when he sponsors himself lol
Funny how under capitalism this can happen in basically any market but only for fucking onions it's regulated.
Forget onion futures, pork futures are where the money really is. There's a warehouse for them and everything.
Its amazing to me not so much that someone bought all the onions in the United States but that Congress was actually once proactive enough to pass legislation on relatively minor issues like that.
I cannot convey how much I appreciate that reference to The Big Short now that I've seen the movie.
'i'd like to invest one stock in onion bot."
Sounds like a monopoly with extra steps.
I was worried for a second this would effect turnips too. I’ve bought and sold a lot of them on The Sow Joan’s Stalk Exchange.
Classic Congress: treat the symptom, not the sickness.
Or, make it look like they did something but leave the door open for their wealthy owners, I mean, donors, do try to do the exact same thing with a different commodity.
So there is nothing stopping me from doing this with potatoes?
Why not pass a law that no one entity can own or control more than say 10% of a commodity market 🤔
why onions? too specific
2 years later the hai sticker is $8 not $3, big future lies
Ironic a last name ford put a stop to this onion monopoly
DougSharpe kinda ripped this video for a YT short
"well buying onions from the future might sound like the ramblings of a coked up hamburgler" LMAO so glad I subscribed to this channel, you a funny guy
It only takes one guy to mess it up for everyone… 😪
Video starts at 1:10
I mean whats stopping someone from doing this with other veggies?
All your onion are belong to us.
If onion monopolies are bad, why aren't HAI sticker monopolies? Or Microsoft Windows monopolies? Or iPod monopolies? Or Nintendo Switch monopolies?
Not at all surprised about the early life section of Vincent Kosuga on wikipedia 😅😅😅😅😅