Financial Insights That Matter
Canadian sugar and confectionary companies would be hit particularly hard if U.S. tariffs come into play because most of the industry’s sales go south of the border, experts say.
“Sugar and confectionary does stand out as one of those sectors, especially in the short term, that is very reliant on the U.S., and therefore could see big impacts from U.S. tariffs,” said Farm Credit Canada senior economist Amanda Norris.
The industry is one of Canada’s most vulnerable agri-food sectors because more than 80 per cent of its sales are to the U.S., according to FCC.
Canada and the U.S. are currently in a month-long truce after President Donald Trump threatened sweeping tariffs on Canadian imports. Canada has said it will retaliate with tariffs of its own.
Agriculture and food economic consultant Sebastien Pouliot said if the U.S. does introduce widespread tariffs on Canadian goods, the U.S. could start importing more confectionary products from other places like Europe.
“I would expect there would be a significant decline in exports of candy products to the United States (from Canada) in that case,” said Pouliot.
If the tariff threats become reality, “it seems very likely that our U.S.-based customers would probably pass on ordering from us for now,” said Elyse Wahle, owner of Sullivan & Bleeker, a nut-free bakery in the Toronto area.
The company’s Boom Candy brand sells to retailers across North America — but if tariffs come into play, Wahle’s U.S. customers can’t absorb a 25 per cent cost increase, and she can’t cut her prices to make up for it.
She’s hoping some of those lost sales can be made up in Canada, where there’s increased demand from retailers looking to stock up on domestic brands.
Trade data shows that in 2024, Canada exported $5.3 billion in sugar and confectionary products to the U.S. It’s the top supplier of confectionary products to the United States, ahead of Mexico and Germany, according to Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada.
Canada also exports refined sugar, with the U.S. by far its biggest export customer. According to the Canadian Sugar Institute, Canada shipped almost 60,000 tonnes of refined sugar to the U.S. in 2023.
Canada’s sugar and confectionary industry is “overdeveloped” compared with the U.S., said Pouliot, because sugar prices are more attractive north of the border.
The price of sugar is significantly cheaper in Canada because of existing protectionist quotas and tariffs in the U.S., said Pouliot.
That gives companies manufacturing in Canada an advantage when it comes to making candy and other confections, he said: “It’s companies working around the tariffs.”
#1a73e8;">Boost Your Financial Knowledge and Achieve Stability
Discover a growing online community dedicated to delivering financial news, tips, and strategies designed to help you manage money effectively, save smarter, and grow your investments with confidence.
#1a73e8;">Top Financial Tips for Saving and Investing
- Personal Finance Management: Master the art of budgeting, expense tracking, and building a strong financial foundation.
- Investment Opportunities: Stay updated on market trends, learn about stocks, and explore secure ways to grow your wealth.
- Expert Money-Saving Advice: Access proven techniques to reduce expenses and maximize your financial potential.