Financial Insights That Matter
Crypto people love data models, price theories, projections, and predictions. Do you?
So do I!
All of these models seem reasonable. They use data and math. They fit nicely with history and human behavior.
And they all disagree with each other.
As part of a series of articles looking at some of the most popular data models, this post looks at Bitcoin’s “expanding cycles” model.
What does the expanding cycles theory say?
Market cycles get longer and more shallow as Bitcoin’s market cap grows and the asset acquires more long-term investors.
Upswings last longer from one peak to the next, as do bear markets. Downturns get less extreme and more shallow out over time. Institutional investors bring more of a long-term approach to their activities, smoothing out the downside extremes.
A more mature, liquid market needs more inflows and outflows to push it higher and lower.
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