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- BlackRock highlights Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and resilience during economic turmoil, positioning Bitcoin ETF as a valuable portfolio diversifier.
- The asset manager believes that BTC could act as a safeguard against inflation and currency devaluation, especially amid growing U.S. fiscal concerns.
World’s largest asset manager BlackRock has recently proposed spot Bitcoin ETFs as a potential hedge against the surging U.S. debt. This move comes as investors increasingly seek alternatives to traditional assets amid growing concerns over U.S. economic concerns. BlackRock’s approach emphasizes BTC’s distinct characteristics as a global, decentralized asset that operates outside monetary or political influences.
BlackRock On Bitcoin ETF As A Hedge Against Economic Turmoil
In its report, BlackRock highlights Bitcoin’s potential as a diversifier for the portfolio of investors. The asset manager noted that its limited correlation to traditional financial assets makes it really attractive in times of market uncertainty.
“Bitcoin’s nature as a scarce, non-sovereign, decentralized global asset has caused some investors to consider it as a flight to safety option in times of fear and around certain geopolitically disruptive events,” the report states. Thus, investors can directly invest in BTC or choose spot Bitcoin ETFs to get exposure but with minimized risks.
The above-mentioned narrative is especially relevant as U.S. debt levels continue to climb, raising concerns about the value of the dollar (USD), per the CNF report. Moreover, BlackRock’s argument for Bitcoin as a hedge is not just theoretical. Historically, BTC has shown remarkable resilience during periods of economic turmoil.
The report mentions that despite short-term volatility, the flagship crypto has recovered from drawdowns despite market stress. This resilience was most recently demonstrated in August 2024 when Bitcoin saw a one-day drop of 7% during a global market sell-off but quickly rebounded within three days.
“We view this pattern as instances of fundamentals eventually prevailing over short-term leveraged trading reactions,” BlackRock noted.
BTC’s $1 Trillion Market Cap
One of the most compelling aspects of BlackRock’s proposal is its emphasis on Bitcoin’s $1 trillion market capitalization. This feat comes after years of outperforming traditional assets. According to the report, Bitcoin outperformed all major asset classes in seven of the past ten years, with an annualized return exceeding 100% over the last decade.
However, the report also cautions that Bitcoin remains a risky asset due to its volatility and the uncertain path of global adoption. Meanwhile, the rising U.S. debt, currently exceeding $33 trillion, has prompted investors to choose alternative assets that can act as a store of value, reported CNF.
BlackRock’s report also highlights BTC’s fixed supply of 21 million units, which cannot be debased. This positioned the crypto as a safeguard against inflation and currency devaluation. “Over the long term, Bitcoin’s adoption trajectory is likely to be driven by the intensity of concerns over global monetary stability, geopolitical stability, U.S. fiscal sustainability, and U.S. political stability,” the report stated.
Also, the performance of Bitcoin ETFs, especially BlackRock’s IBIT, has performed well since inception. The IBIT Bitcoin ETF has raked in $20.92 million in net inflows since its launch in early January 2024. Whilst the U.S. BTC ETFs have collectively seen $17.44 million in inflows to date despite the high outflows from Grayscale’s GBTC. Some market analysts believe that Bitcoin is gearing up for a new record high next month in October, per the CNF report.
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