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(Bloomberg) — Germany added more onshore wind turbines in the past decade than any other European country, but a severe slump in output this month shows how the nation’s energy system is still at the mercy of the weather and its old fossil-fuel plants.
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Wind speeds slumped about 12% in March from a year earlier, because of a North Atlantic ocean pattern that put Germany in an unusually long-lasting high-pressure bullseye. That sent average daily power generation from the nation’s thousands of turbines to its lowest level since 2016 and kept power prices elevated.
The slump highlights how once again Europe’s biggest power market has to be bailed out by its legacy coal and gas plants and how difficult it will be for Germany to substantially reduce emissions from its power sector. Not only are those stations more expensive to operate, they lead to more pollution.
“Low wind levels, despite higher installed capacity, means fossil-fuels have remained a leading component of the generation mix,” said Florence Schmit, an energy strategist at Rabobank. “German and by default neighboring European power markets are struggling” to see substantial declines, she said.
As a result, average day-ahead prices are 48% higher this month than a year ago, and almost at the same levels as the tail end of Europe’s energy crisis in 2023.
The low wind speeds have been driven by the path of air pressure linked to the North Atlantic Oscillation, a see-saw pattern located over the ocean between the Azores and Iceland, according to data from Atmospheric G2.
That path split in March, sending one low-pressure track south into Spain and another across Scandinavia, said Matt Dobson, a meteorologist with MetDesk. The split created a persistent area of high pressure over the UK and Germany, which smothered wind speeds. But it did create unseasonably warm, sunny conditions that led solar power output to surge in the region.
“March 2025 has certainly been remarkable for renewable generation over northwest and Central Europe,” Dobson said.
In the winter, similar high-pressure patterns also lead to low wind speeds and they become a magnet for low-lying clouds, he said. That’s a combination that can create “Dunkelflaute” conditions with low power generation from wind turbines and solar panels.
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